I've been considering this for a long time. Let's just look past the Wii U, because there's nothing really interesting going on there. I'll touch on that later though, because it is important.
I'm sort of interested if there will be a splintering of the industry in the future. Sony and Microsoft seem to want to drive the console further and further away from being a console. One look at the new 360 dash basically says that Microsoft doesn't have much of an interest in being a pure game console anymore. That's telling of the kind of company that Microsoft is; they like to go by the biggest numbers that appear to them instead of digging deeper and doing some actual research. What I mean by that is the absurd amount of hours spent in Netflix streaming. Microsoft brass seems to think that the future of their console is in video, music and social content. Which can be seen by games being pushed to the fourth or fifth tab on the new dash. This is somewhat foolish considering the fact that countless more hours are sunk into multiplayer games like Call of Duty as opposed to Netflix.
This looks like even more of a stupid move when you consider that Microsoft said today that they have sold 66 million Xbox 360s with 40 million Live accounts. That's almost a third of Xbox 360s that AREN'T consuming copious amounts of other media, since Netflix is only available to Xbox Live Gold subscribers. It's also worth noting that the 40 million Live accounts aren't broken into Silver and Gold subscribers, so it could be an even smaller number that Microsoft has been retooling the Xbox brand for.
The PlayStation 3 has remained less focused on other media, and I'm kind of wishing I had gone the Sony route just a little bit more every day. It hasn't been a wildly successful system though. There are good exclusives, but when most of the other games can be found on Xbox 360 running better and with the console coming in at a cheaper price, it's not a surprise that the PlayStation 3 hasn't found as large of a market as the PlayStation 2.
This is where I want to come back to the Wii U. It doesn't seem to be wildly technically impressive, and the tablet style controller seems like a REALLY stupid idea to me. I thinkt hat Nintendo may have a slight advantage though. They haven't been a company (so far) to embrace other media on their consoles as much. Netflix is available, but that's the extent of it. You can't even watch DVDs.
This is where I'm curious if there will be a splintering of the industry.
I think Microsoft is in a dangerous place of swinging way off of the main gamer radar. The latest dash has been a slap in the face, and their emphasis on Facebook and other media on the 360 reeks of a typical Microsoft misunderstanding of an industry. Sony, on the other hand, have the same bureaucratic nightmare of a business that Microsoft do. I'm sure they'll be nipping at the heels of Microsoft in putting similar content onto their next console.
Then there's Nintendo; as strange as it may sound, I'm wondering if they may really actually take back the hardcore. I think that Microsoft and Sony are eventually going to reach a point where gamers push back against this integration of all of this other content into their gaming machine. The only thing I've really seen people use on their Xboxes is Netflix. Not Facebook. Not whatever ESPN they have streaming.
Nintendo is in a unique place to show gamers that it means gaming. Not all of this silly shit that Microsoft has diverged into, and that Sony will probably be crashing after them trying to imitate. If they can position the company correctly, they could probably really stir things up. I hate to say "my friends" because it's not a good indication of the majority, but they're getting pretty irritated at all of the constant dash changes on their Xboxes and all of the advertisements. I've found myself even turning to my Wii more lately because it feels like it was actually meant to play games.
So, that's my thoughts. Who knows, though.